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| O. Mizuno, D. Shimoda, T. Kikuno, and Y. Takagi, "Enhancing Software Project Simulator Toward Risk Prediction with Cost Estimation Capability," IEICE Transactions on Fundamentals of Electronics, Communications and Computer Sciences, E84-A(11), pp. 2812-2821, November 2001. | |
| ID | 242 |
| 分類 | 学術論文誌(査読付) |
| タグ | capability cost enhancing estimation prediction project risk simulator software toward |
| 表題 (title) |
Enhancing Software Project Simulator Toward Risk Prediction with Cost Estimation Capability |
| 表題 (英文) |
|
| 著者名 (author) |
Osamu Mizuno,Daisuke Shimoda,Tohru Kikuno,Yasunari Takagi |
| 英文著者名 (author) |
Osamu Mizuno,Daisuke Shimoda,Tohru Kikuno,Yasunari Takagi |
| キー (key) |
Osamu Mizuno,Daisuke Shimoda,Tohru Kikuno,Yasunari Takagi |
| 定期刊行物名 (journal) |
IEICE Transactions on Fundamentals of Electronics, Communications and Computer Sciences |
| 定期刊行物名 (英文) |
|
| 巻数 (volume) |
E84-A |
| 号数 (number) |
11 |
| ページ範囲 (pages) |
2812-2821 |
| 刊行月 (month) |
11 |
| 出版年 (year) |
2001 |
| Impact Factor (JCR) |
0.346 (2001) |
| URL |
http://search.ieice.org/bin/summary.php?id=e84-a_11_2812&category=A&year=2001&lang=E&abst= |
| 付加情報 (note) |
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| 注釈 (annote) |
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| 内容梗概 (abstract) |
This paper presents an enhancement of a software project simulator
to perform risk prediction with cost estimation capability. So far, we have developed a software project simulator to simulate software development projects. In this simulator, a development process was described using Petri net model, and it was applied to some actual project data in a certain company successfully. On the other hand, we have also presented a risk predicting system to find ``risky projects by statistical analysis on risk questionnaire for project managers. In this approach, only the probability to be risky was calculated for a project. Thus, the managers in the company wanted to know a concrete proof why a software project becomes risky. In this paper, to present the proof that a software project becomes risky, we try to enhance the previous project simulator so that the simulator can deal with risk factors. To consider the risk factors, we modify the previous simulator so that both the fluctuation of skill level and the deadline pressure can be represented by the parameters in the simulator. By using a case study, we confirm that the enhanced simulator can estimate the development cost under some typical risks. As a result, we can expect that the simulator shows how much the development cost of a risky project exceeds an estimate. |
| 論文電子ファイル | draft (application/pdf) [一般閲覧可] |
| BiBTeXエントリ |
@article{id242,
title = {Enhancing software project simulator toward risk prediction with cost estimation capability},
author = {Osamu Mizuno and Daisuke Shimoda and Tohru Kikuno and Yasunari Takagi},
journal = {IEICE Transactions on Fundamentals of Electronics, Communications and Computer Sciences},
volume = {E84-A},
number = {11},
pages = {2812-2821},
month = {11},
year = {2001},
impactfactor = {0.346 (2001)},
}
|