During software development, projects often experience risky
situations. If projects fail to detect such risks, they may
exhibit confused behavior. In this paper, we propose a new scheme
for characterization of the level of confusion exhibited by projects
based on an empirical questionnaire. First, we designed a
questionnaire from five project viewpoints, requirements, estimates,
planning, team organization, and project management activities. Each
of these viewpoints was assessed using questions in which experience
and knowledge of software risks are determined. Secondly, we
classify projects into ``confused'' and ``not confused'', using the
resulting metrics data. We thirdly analyzed the relationship between
responses to the questionnaire and the degree of confusion of the
projects using logistic regression analysis and constructing a model
to characterize confused projects. The experimental result used
actual project data shows that 28 projects out of 32 were
characterized correctly. As a result, we concluded that the
characterization of confused projects was successful. Furthermore,
we applied the constructed model to data from other projects in
order to detect risky projects. The result of the application of
this concept showed that 7 out of 8 projects were classified
correctly. Therefore, we concluded that the proposed scheme is also
applicable to the detection of risky projects.